Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.160807 0.188245 0.218430 0.254030 0.294794 0.339935 0.393631
2025-10-26 0.113455 0.149954 0.194552 0.252705 0.326138 0.415356 0.531482
2025-11-02 0.087618 0.126922 0.178863 0.251763 0.350534 0.478666 0.656232
2025-11-09 0.069664 0.109081 0.164723 0.247733 0.366867 0.529810 0.767192
2025-11-16 0.056756 0.095276 0.152926 0.243658 0.380534 0.576416 0.874144
2025-11-23 0.045907 0.082281 0.139771 0.234835 0.384928 0.608710 0.962031
2025-11-30 0.041999 0.079550 0.141675 0.248701 0.424125 0.694549 1.134854
2025-12-07 0.035051 0.070352 0.131607 0.241698 0.429203 0.728234 1.230492
2025-12-14 0.029305 0.062222 0.122026 0.233947 0.431621 0.757095 1.319875
2025-12-21 0.024915 0.055828 0.114495 0.228560 0.436983 0.790480 1.418328
2025-12-28 0.022401 0.052686 0.112448 0.232638 0.458926 0.852803 1.568889
2026-01-04 0.020674 0.050864 0.112627 0.240760 0.488677 0.930473 1.750780
2026-01-11 0.018714 0.048270 0.111062 0.245597 0.513328 1.002084 1.929310
2026-01-18 0.016743 0.045313 0.108363 0.247889 0.533449 1.067362 2.101974
2026-01-25 0.014805 0.042054 0.104520 0.247266 0.547612 1.122499 2.259849
2026-02-01 0.012896 0.038481 0.099443 0.243326 0.554560 1.164354 2.395789
2026-02-08 0.011248 0.035247 0.094640 0.239319 0.560805 1.205051 2.532020
2026-02-15 0.009562 0.031545 0.088150 0.230638 0.556163 1.223778 2.626930
2026-02-22 0.009263 0.031703 0.091144 0.244281 0.601030 1.344639 2.929687
2026-03-01 0.007993 0.028739 0.085799 0.237391 0.599742 1.371264 3.046387
2026-03-08 0.006864 0.025944 0.080447 0.229765 0.595918 1.392105 3.152433
2026-03-15 0.005977 0.023709 0.076246 0.224465 0.596861 1.422896 3.280720
2026-03-22 0.005524 0.022825 0.075675 0.228477 0.620207 1.503527 3.518370